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Weekly Reports

21-May-22 Technical & Fundamental Insight

Indices witness highly volatile week in recent times, but most of the volatility was in range of 15750 – 16400. Indices have gained on weekly basis around 3% – 4% and VIX was down 1.66% but continues to trade at 23.10, which is above comfort level of 20.

Result season in India will conclude by 30-May-22, most of companies have declare their Q4FY22 result. So far major trend has been “Sell-on-Rise” and this may soon change to “Accumulate Gradually” level.

Indices witness highly volatile week in recent times, but most of the volatility was in range of 15750 – 16400.  Indices have gained on weekly basis around 3% – 4% and VIX was down 1.66% but continues to trade at 23.10, which is above comfort level of 20.

Daily volatility of 400 points on Nifty was 3 out of 5 trading days.  It is not a normal scenario and technical indicators change too fast and at times be misguiding.

Increase in VIX above 25 – indicates fear and that would normally come in a falling market.  

We are entering very critical week & final F&O expiry for May 2022 series this week.  

Probable Negative play: Nifty below 15782 & VIX above 25

Probable Positive play: Nifty above 16362 & VIX below 20

Result season in India will conclude by 30-May-22, most of companies have declare their Q4FY22 result.  So far major trend has been “Sell-on-Rise” and this may soon change to “Accumulate Gradually” level.  

Why market was volatile this week?

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